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Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Hastanesi

Hospital / health systemIzmir, Turkey

Research output, citation impact, and the most-cited recent papers from Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Hastanesi (Türkiye). Aggregated across the NobleBlocks index of 300M+ scholarly works.

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4.5K
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h-index
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i10-index
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Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Hastanesi

Top-cited papers from Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Hastanesi

Anatomic Study of the Vasculature of the Submental Artery Flap
Orhan Mağden, Mete Edizer, Volkan Tayfur, Atay Atabey
2004· Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery106doi:10.1097/01.prs.0000142479.52061.7d

The submental artery island flap is a versatile option in head and neck reconstruction. This flap may be used for the coverage of perioral, intraoral, and other facial defects, leaving a relatively acceptable donor-site scar. In this study, the submental region of 13 formalin-fixed cadavers was dissected bilaterally. Comprehensive anatomical information regarding the pedicle of the flap and its relationship with the important adjacent structures is provided. The mean values of the measurements of the facial and submental arteries were as follows: the facial artery was 2.7 mm in diameter at the origin, and it crossed the mandibular border 26.6 mm from the mandibular angle. The origin of the submental artery was 27.5 mm from the origin of the facial artery, 5.0 mm from the mandibular border, and 23.8 mm from the mandibular angle. The diameter of the submental artery was 1.7 mm at the origin. The artery was found mostly to course superficial to the submandibular gland. In one case, the artery passed through the gland. The total length of the submental artery was 58.9 mm. The artery anastomosed with the contralateral artery in 92 percent of the cadavers. The submental artery was deep to the anterior belly of the digastric muscle in 81 percent of the cases. This study presents detailed anatomical data about the location, dimension, and relationship of the facial artery, the submental artery, and the submental vein that may be useful during dissection of the submental artery island flap.

Presence and Distribution of Lithium in Borate Deposits and Some Recent Lake Waters of West-Central Turkey
Cahit Helvacı, Hasan Mordoğan, Mümtaz Çolak, İbrahim Gündoğan
2004· International Geology Review96doi:10.2747/0020-6814.46.2.177

The presence and distribution of lithium, which is used in a variety of applications in current technology and will be a strategic component in near future technology, has been investigated within the scope of some of Turkey's borate and non-borate Neogene basins and recent lakes. Clay samples from the Turkish borate deposits, Soma lignite basin, and Beypazari trona basin, and water samples from Acigöl, Salda, Yarisçi, Burdur, Egirdir, Tersakan, Bolluk, Karapinar (Acigöl), and Tuzgölü lakes were studied. Analytical results show that the lithium values obtained from clays of borate deposits vary between 0.17 and 0.58% Li2O, and lake water samples contain between 0.30 and 325 mg/l Li+. Lithium is mostly bounded in the clay minerals at the borate deposits. While, the Beypazari trona deposit has lithium between 10 and 46 ppm, the Soma lignite basin does not contain lithium. Therefore, lithium is mainly related to evaporatic formations. These lithium amounts indicate that both the waters of Tuzgölü lake and the clays associated with borate deposits are potential lithium resources, and that they may be considered for economic use in the near future. In western Turkey, geothermal sources mostly depend on the graben faulting system; they also contain minor amounts of lithium.

A Longitudinal Analysis of the Self-Directed Learning Readiness Level of Nursing Students Enrolled in a Problem-Based Curriculum
Gülseren Kocaman, Aklime Dicle, Aysen Ugur
2009· Journal of Nursing Education91doi:10.3928/01484834-20090416-09

Self-directed learning is an important outcome of nursing education. Although problem-based learning is believed to facilitate self-directed learning, previous studies have reported conflicting results. This longitudinal survey explored the perceived changes in self-directed learning for 4 years in a baccalaureate nursing education program with an integrated problem-based learning curriculum. Fifty of 59 students (response rate, 85%) completed the Self-Directed Learning Readiness Scale at five different time points: at the beginning of each academic year and at program completion. Scores were significantly lower during the first academic year compared with other years, and fourth-year scores were significantly higher than in previous years. Scores on the three subscales (i.e., self-management, desire for learning, and self-control) increased significantly during the 4 years of the program. These findings support self-directed learning as a maturational process. Implications for nursing faculty and curriculum development are discussed.

Türkiye’de Muhasebe Alanında Yapılan Lisansüstü Tez Çalışmaları Üzerine Bir Araştırma (1984-2012)
Gönül Alkan
2014· Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi86doi:10.25095/mufad.396448

Bu araştırmanın amacı Türkiye’deki üniversitelerde muhasebe alanında yapılmış kayıtlı ve ulaşılma olanağı bulunan yüksek lisans ve doktora tezlerinin; profilini, alana katkılarını, içerik ve konu açısından zaman içindeki yönelimini belirlemektir. Çalışma 1984-2012 yılları arasında muhasebe alanında yazılan ve erişime açık 656 lisansüstü tezi kapsamaktadır. Tezler içerik analizi yöntemi kullanılarak konularına, kullanılan yönteme, geliştirilen öneri ve alana katkı gibi belirli kriterlere göre incelenerek sınıflandırılmıştır. Araştırma verileri Excel programında değerlendirilmiştir. Veri toplama aracı olarak Yükseköğretim Kurulu Ulusal Tez Merkezi’nden yararlanılmıştır.

Eğitim Kurumlarında Mobbing Uygulamalarına İlişkin Nitel Bir Araştırma
Esen Altunay, Gülşin Oral, Münevver Yalçınkaya
2014· Sakarya University Journal of Education85doi:10.19126/suje.37750

The aim of the research is to determine mobbing implications encountering in educational institutions andmethods of coping with mobbing. This study tries to make a realistic assessment about practices of mobbing and offers precautions against them. Sampling of research was education institutions. Participants arecomposed of instructors working in different education institutions. Purposive sampling method is used inthe study. Sampling techniques based on the criteria was taken into account for determining of workinggroup. Semi-structure interview is used in this study which covered qualitative data collection techniques.As a data collection tool is used semi-structured interview form developed by researchers. Draft of the semistructured interview form gets the final form through with the expert opinions. In this study, views of victims subject to mobbing implications in educational institutions are identified and problems encounteredby these victims in the mobbing process are investigated. The main finding of this study shows that the vi* Dr., esenaltunay@yahoo.com** Öğr. Gör., Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi, gulsinoral@hotmail.com*** Prof. Dr., Uluslararası Kıbrıs Üniversitesi-Lefkoşe, myalcinkaya@ciu.edu.trews of victims of mobbing have similarities in terms of the main points of mobbing. However, these viewsof victims of mobbing display certain diversity in terms of sub-themes.

The Comparison of Antibody Response to Influenza Vaccination in Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis, Hemodialysis and Renal Transplantation Patients
C. Çavdar, Murat Sayan, Aykut Sifil, Cigdem Artuk +3 more
2003· Scandinavian Journal of Urology and Nephrology82doi:10.1080/00365590310008749

BACKGROUND: The immune system in renal transplant (Tx), Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis (CAPD) and hemodialysis (HD) patients have been suppressed and antibody response to vaccination is weaker than that of the normal population. Additionally immune response to vaccination also differs from each other in aforementioned three groups resulting from different levels immunosuppression. In the present study, detection of antibody response to influenza vaccine as an indicator of the level of immunity in Tx, CAPD and HD patients was aimed PATIENTS AND METHODS: Forty-eight patients (17 Tx, 16 CAPD and 15 HD) and 10 healthy adults, as a control group were enrolled into the study. Purified, split-virus, commercial trivalent influenza vaccine (VAXIGRIP--Pasteur Merieux Connaught, single dose of 0.5 ml into the deltoid muscle) containing 15 microg of each hemagglutinin of A/Johannesburg/82/96 (H1N1), A/Nachang/933/95 (H3N2) and B/Harbin/07/94 (B) strains were administered to all subjects. Serum samples were collected before and 1 month after vaccination to determine antibody titers. Hemagglutination-inhibition test (HI) was applied for determination of antibody response. The antibody response against each strain was measured separately. In addition to measurement of antibody response, increments in antibody titer (n-fold increase in titer), proportion of patients with protective antibody levels and seroconversion levels were taken into account. Wilcoxon paired 2 test and Mann-Whitney U test were applied for statistical analysis. p < 0.05 was accepted as significance level. RESULTS: Significant increases in antibody titers for all three antigens were observed in the study groups after vaccination (p = 0.001). However, the increase in titer of H3N2 was lower in Tx, CAPD and HD patients than that of the control group (1.0-2.0 vs 5.00) (p = 0.01). The proportion of protective antibody titers and seroconvertions were increased after vaccination in all subjects. Proportions of patients with protective antibody titers after vaccination were lower in Tx, CAPD and HD groups in comparison to control group. CONCLUSION: Although antibody titers in Tx, CAPD and HD patients presented significant increases after vaccination, the proportions of patients with protective antibody titers were lower in comparison to control group. Tx, CAPD and HD patients should be vaccinated every year to be able avoid potential morbidity and mortality of the influenza infection. Trial of high dose vaccination protocols may be useful to increase the proportion of patients with protective antibody levels.

Determining middle school students' perceptions of the concept of artificial intelligence: A metaphor analysis
Kadir Demir, Gür Emre Güraksın
2021· Participatory Educational Research73doi:10.17275/per.22.41.9.2

Apart from the fact that human-like robots are still one of the most interesting topics in science fiction, artificial intelligence (AI) continues to develop rapidly as a popular phenomenon for all sectors. Although the idea that this rapid rise of AI means the rise of humanity has been voiced by many, the point of how AI will affect humanity continues to raise doubts in certain parts of the society. In this study, it is aimed to determine the perceptions of middle school students, which are a part of the future of humanity, towards the concept of AI, on which many discussions have been made, through metaphors. The sample consisted of 339 seventh and eighth grade students of four secondary schools in the central districts of Afyonkarahisar and Izmir in the 2019-2020 academic year. This study used a qualitative approach utilizing metaphor analysis as a research tool to investigate phenomena. Participants were asked the complete the sentence “Artificial intelligence is like.................., because ..................” Data were analyzed using content analysis. Participants’ metaphors for AI were grouped under 11 categories: smart, brain, nature, security, humanistic, the dilemma of good and evil, service, object, technology, life, and time. The data obtained showed that the participants generally used positive metaphors to describe AI, that is, they had positive perceptions about AI. However, in this study, which focused on the AI perceptions of middle school students, all of the metaphors collected under 11 conceptual categories containing positive and negative perceptions were examined and interpreted separately. It is thought that educational computer systems can be designed to shape students' perceptions of AI. Teachers can consider students' perceptions of AI by using AI-assisted teaching and designing content to enhance students' learning skills.

Spielberger State and Trait Anxiety Level in Healthcare Professionals During the Covid-19 Outbreak: A Case of Tepecik Hospital
Hüseyin Hakan Sakaoğlu, Dilek Orbatu, Mustafa Emiroğlu, Özlem Özer Çakır
2020· The Anatolian Journal of General Medical Research54doi:10.5222/terh.2020.56873

Ama: Bu alma, hayat her boyutu ile derinden etkileyen gncel pandemi olan Covid-19 nceliklidir. Covid-19; Aralk 2019'da in'in Hubei blgesi bakenti Wu-han'da balamtr. 11 Mart 2020'de salgn "pandemi" olarak ilan edilmitir. Salgn, hepimizde

Gaining of Children’s State Anxiety and Children’s Fear Scale to Turkish Language
Gülçin Özalp Gerçeker, Dijle AYAR, Zahide ÖZDEMİR, Murat Bektaş
· DergiPark (Istanbul University)52

Hastane ortamnda ocuklar birok korku

Bireylerin E-Sağlık Okuryazarlığı ve Siberkondri Düzeylerinin İncelenmesi
Serkan Deniz
2020· İnsan ve İnsan Dergisi52doi:10.29224/insanveinsan.674726

İnternetten sağlıkla ilgili bilgilere hızlı ve kolay bir şekilde ulaşabilmek mümkün hale gelmiştir. Bu durum e-sağlık okuryazarlığı ve siberkondri kavramlarını günümüzde önemli hale getirmiştir. Bu çalışma ile bireylerin e-sağlık okuryazarlığı ve siberkondri düzeylerinin demografik özelliklere göre farklılık gösterip göstermediğinin; ayrıca e-sağlık okuryazarlığı ile siberkondri düzeyleri arasındaki ilişkinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Araştırma, Aralık 2019- Ocak 2020 aylarında İstanbul’da gerçekleştirilmiştir. Araştırma sonucunda katılımcıların yaşına, eğitim durumuna, medeni durumuna ve çalışma durumuna göre e-sağlık okuryazarlık düzeylerinin istatistiksel olarak farklılık göstermediği; ancak katılımcıların cinsiyetine göre e-sağlık okuryazarlık düzeylerinin istatistiksel olarak farklılık gösterdiği belirlenmiştir. Katılımcıların cinsiyetine, yaşına, medeni durumuna ve çalışma durumuna göre siberkondri düzeylerinin istatistiksel olarak farklılık göstermediği; ancak katılımcıların eğitim durumuna göre siberkondri düzeylerinin istatistiksel olarak farklılık gösterdiği belirlenmiştir. E-sağlık okuryazarlığı ile siberkondri düzeyleri arasında pozitif yönlü ve düşük düzeyde bir ilişki olduğu belirlenmiştir.

Reverse Temporalis Muscle Flap for the Reconstruction of Orbital Exenteration Defects
Adnan Menderes, Mustafa Ylmaz, Haluk Vayvada, Cenk Demirdöver +1 more
2002· Annals of Plastic Surgery48doi:10.1097/00000637-200205000-00013

Orbital exenteration is a surgical procedure that results in devastating functional and aesthetic losses. Many reconstructive techniques, ranging from spontaneous epithelialization to free flaps, have been described for orbital exenteration defects. The temporalis muscle flap is one of the most frequently used flaps to obliterate the orbital cavity, but only a small portion of the muscle can be used for this purpose because most of the muscle is used as the pedicle. The reverse temporalis muscle flap based on the superficial temporal vessels is a versatile flap by which the entire temporalis muscle can be elevated and carried to defects beyond the midline. The authors have used this flap for orbital reconstruction after exenteration in 6 patients with successful results. This flap enables placement of highly vascularized tissue that provides the reconstructive goals of primary healing, obliterates dead space with separation of the orbit from the nasal cavity or sinuses, provides the potential for early postoperative radiotherapy, and offers possible flaps that can be used in combination for complex, wide defects.

Cytomegalovirus colitis in a patient with Behcet’s disease receiving tumor necrosis factor alpha inhibitory treatment
İ̇smail Sarı, Merih Bırlık, Can Gönen, Servet Akar +3 more
2008· World Journal of Gastroenterology48doi:10.3748/wjg.14.2912

Anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) inhibitors are effective in the treatment of various inflammatory rheumatic conditions. Increased risks of serious infections are the major issues concerning the long-term safety of these agents. We present a case of a young male Behcet's patient whose disease was complicated by cytomegalovirus (CMV) colitis. Colitis started 10 d after the third Infliximab dose and responded to the cessation of TNF blocking treatment and administration of ganciclovir. Tumor necrosis factor alpha and interferon gamma act at several levels in combating viral infections. CMV infections should be kept in mind and included in the differential diagnosis of severe gastrointestinal symptoms in patients receiving anti-TNF agents.

Afetlerde Özel Gereksinimli Grup Olarak Yaşlılar
Özlem ÇAKIR, Gülseren ATALAY
2020· Resilience48doi:10.32569/resilience.630540

Dünya nüfusu yaşlanırken bir sosyal politika aracı olarak yaşlı politikaları özel önem atfedilen konular arasında yerini almaktadır. Birleşmiş Milletler Teşkilatının İnsani Gelişme Raporları toplumda çocuklar ve engellilerin yansıra yaşlıların da afetlerde ve iklim değişikliği sonucu ortaya çıkan risklerden etkilenen en kırılgan gruplar olduğunu vurgulamaktadır. Yaşlı bireyler kronik hastalıkları, fiziksel engelleri, işitme ve görme kayıpları nedeniyle, normal yaşamlarında özel ihtiyaçlarını karşılarken yardıma gereksinim duyabilmektedir. Afet-acil durumlarda örneğin sıcak ve soğuk hava koşulları ile salgın hastalık durumları kronik hastalığa sahip yaşlı bireylerin sağlık durumunu kötüleştirmekte, hayatlarını tehdit etmekte özel olarak korunması gereken nüfus kesimini oluşturmaktadırlar. Afet riskleri altında diğer bireylere göre daha savunmasız ve kırılgan olduklarından, acil durum ve afetlerde hazırlık, afetler sırasındaki müdahale ve afet sonrası yardım mekanizmalarında yaşlılar ülkemizde de özel olarak ele alınması gereken dezavantajlı gruplardan biri olarak karşımıza çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmada yaşlı bireylerin kronik hastalıkları ve fiziksel engelleri, genç bireyler göre yavaş hareket etmelerine neden olan kırılganlıkları (hassasiyetleri) nedeniyle özel durumları karşısında geliştirilen önlemler, uygulamalar ve sonuçlarının Dünya örnekleri ışığında incelenmesi ve ülkemiz için öneriler geliştirilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, Japonya’da ve Avrupa ülkelerinde belirli acil durum ve afetlerde yaşlı gruplara yönelik gerçekleştirilen hizmetler, alınan önlemler ve kurumsal yapı örnekleri incelenmektedir. Konuya yönelik ülkemizde yerel yönetimlerin, merkezi ve taşra teşkilatlarının yaşlı hizmetlerinin acil durum ve afetlerde yaşlı-duyarlı afet yönetimi planlama süreçlerinin geliştirilmesine yönelik öneriler sunulmaktadır. Sonuç olarak afet yönetimi ile uyumlu bir sosyal politika zemini her açıdan yerel afet müdahale kapasitesini ve toplumun afete dirençliliğini arttıracaktır.

TOPSIS Yöntemi ile Finansal Performans Değerlendirmesi: XUTEK Üzerinde Bir Uygulama
Çağatay ORÇUN, B. Selman Eren
2017· Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi44doi:10.25095/mufad.399899

Bu çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul’da (BIST) işlem gören teknoloji şirketlerinin mali performansları TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) yöntemi kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmada ilk olarak kullanılacak finansal oranlar belirlenmiş ve bu oranlar her şirket için ayrı ayrı hesaplanmıştır. Gerçekleştirilen analiz sonucunda 2010-2015 yılları arasında performans açısından en başarılı şirketler sırasıyla, ASELS, LINK, ARMDA, LINK, INDES ve DGATE şeklinde gerçekleşmiştir. Ayrıca, şirketlerin ilgili dönemlere yönelik finansal performanslar sıralamaları ile borsa getiri sıralamaları da analiz edilmiş ve herhangi anlamlı bir ilişki tespit edilememiştir.

Machine Selection in a Dairy Product Company with Entropy and SAW Methods Integration
Aşkın Özdağoğlu, Enis Yakut, Sezai BAHAR
2017· Dokuz Eylul Universitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Dergisi39doi:10.24988/deuiibf.2017321605

Machine selection is an important and difficult process for the firms, and its results may generate more problems than anticipated. In order to find the best alternative, managers should define the requirements of the factory and determine the necessary criteria. On the other hand, the decision making criteria for choosing the right equipment may vary according to the type of the manufacturing facility, market requirements, and consumer assigned criteria. This study aims to find the best machine alternative among the three machine offerings according to twelve evaluation criteria by integrating entropy method with SAW method.

Entropi Temelli MAUT ve SAW Yöntemleri İle Otomotiv Firmalarının Performans Değerlemesi
Nuri Ömürbek, Meltem KARAATLI, Halil Furkan BALCI
2016· Dokuz Eylul Universitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Dergisi38doi:10.24988/deuiibf.2016311446

Bu çalışmada ülkemizde faaliyet gösteren ve aynı zamanda BİST’de (Borsa İstanbul) işlem gören otomotiv sektöründe faaliyette bulunan firmaların performanslarının çok kriterli karar verme yöntemleri ile değerlendirilmesine çalışılmıştır. Türkiye’de faaliyet gösteren en önemli otomotiv şirketlerinin verileri; Sermaye, Hisse Senedi, Piyasa Değeri, Satış Geliri, Personel Sayısı, Net Kar Marjı, Cari Oran, net kar/sermaye, net kar/satışlar ve net satışlar/personel kriterleri çerçevesinde değerlendirilmiştir. Performans ölçümünde kullanılan kriterler ise firmaların 2014 faaliyet raporlarından elde edilmiştir. Öncelikle Entropi yöntemi ile kriterlerin ağırlıkları belirlenmiştir. Elde edilen kriter ağırlıkları önce MAUT (Multi-Attribute Utility Theory) yönteminde daha sonra SAW (Simple Additive Weighting) yönteminde kullanılarak firmaların performansları değerlendirilerek sıralama yapılmıştır. Değerlendirme sonucunda her iki yöntemde de ilk üç sırada aynı firmalar yeralmaktadır.

Effects of Se, Cu and Se + vitamin E deficiency on the activities of CuZnSOD, GSH‐Px, CAT and LPO levels in chicken erythrocytes
Lütfiye Arzu Bozkaya, Raziye Öztürk Ürek, Tülin Aydemir, Leman Tarhan
2001· Cell Biochemistry and Function37doi:10.1002/cbf.906

Antioxidant enzymes and vitamins provide a defence against the damage of cells by reactive oxygen species in living systems. The effect of Cu, Se and vitamin E deficiencies on the antioxidant enzyme activities and lipid peroxide levels of chicken erythrocytes were investigated during 6 weeks of a depletion diet. CuZnSOD activity and the plasma Cu level of the Cu-deficient group which was fed a diet containing 0.2 mg Cu x kg(-1) were reduced to 62 and 71% respectively. GSH-Px activity of the Se-deficient group was decreased by 46% but by 21% in the Cu-deficient group. CAT activity values of Se- and Cu-deficient groups were increased by 28 and 10% respectively. The maximum increase of LPO levels in erythrocyte membranes was observed as 32% for the Se+E-deficient group. The LPO level of the Cu-deficient group which had decreased CuZnSOD and GSH-Px activity, was also observed to be significantly increased when compared with the controls (p < 0.05).

Readability of internet-sourced patient education material related to “labour analgesia”
Nilay Boztaş, Dilek Ömür, Şule Özbilgin, Gözde Altuntas +3 more
2017· Medicine36doi:10.1097/md.0000000000008526

We evaluated the readability of Internet-sourced patient education materials (PEMs) related to "labour analgesia." In addition to assessing the readability of websites, we aimed to compare commercial, personal, and academic websites.We used the most popular search engine (http://www.google.com) in our study. The first 100 websites in English that resulted from a search for the key words "labour analgesia" were scanned. Websites that were not in English, graphs, pictures, videos, tables, figures and list formats in the text, all punctuation, the number of words in the text is less than 100 words, feedback forms not related to education, (Uniform Resource Locator) URL websites, author information, references, legal disclaimers, and addresses and telephone numbers were excluded.The texts included in the study were assessed using the Flesch Reading Ease Score (FRES), Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level (FKGL), Simple Measure of Gobbledygook (SMOG), and Gunning Frequency of Gobbledygook (FOG) readability formulae. The number of Latin words within the text was determined.Analysis of 300-word sections of the texts revealed that the mean FRES was 47.54 ± 12.54 (quite difficult), mean FKGL and SMOG were 11.92 ± 2.59 and 10.57 ± 1.88 years of education, respectively, and mean Gunning FOG was 14.71 ± 2.76 (very difficult). Within 300-word sections, the mean number of Latin words was identified as 16.56 ± 6.37.In our study, the readability level of Internet-sourced PEM related to "labour analgesia" was identified to be quite high indicating poor readability.

COMPARATIVE STUDY ON RETAIL SALES FORECASTING BETWEEN SINGLE AND COMBINATION METHODS
Serkan Aras, İpek Deveci Kocakoç, Cigdem Polat
2017· Journal of Business Economics and Management36doi:10.3846/16111699.2017.1367324

In today’s competitive global economy, businesses must adjust themselves constantly to ever-changing markets. Therefore, predicting future events in the marketplace is crucial to the maintenance of successful business activities. In this study, sales forecasts for a global furniture retailer operating in Turkey were made using state space models, ARIMA and ARFIMA models, neural networks, and Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Also, the forecasting performances of some widely used combining methods were evaluated by comparison with the weekly sales data for ten products. According to the best of our knowledge, this study is the first time that the recently developed state space models, also called ETS (Error-Trend-Seasonal) models, and the ANFIS model have been tested within combining methods for forecasting retail sales. Analysis of the results of the single models in isolation indicated that none of them outperformed all the others across all the time series investigated. However, the empirical results suggested that most of the combined forecasts examined could achieve statistically significant increases in forecasting accuracy compared with individual models and with the forecasts generated by the company’s current system.

Volatility spillover from the Chinese stock market to E7 and G7 stock markets
Berna Kırkulak Uludağ, Muzammil Khurshid
2018· Journal of Economic Studies36doi:10.1108/jes-01-2017-0014

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine volatility spillover from the Chinese stock market to E7 and G7 stock markets. Using the estimated results, the authors also analyze the optimal weights and optimal hedge ratios for the portfolios including stocks from E7 and G7 countries. Design/methodology/approach The authors employed generalized vector autoregressive-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity approach, developed by Ling and McAleer (2003), in order to analyze daily data on the national stock indices. Considering the late establishment of some E7 stock markets, the sampling covers the period from 1995 through 2015. Findings The findings indicate significant volatility spillover from the Chinese stock market to E7 and G7 stock markets. In particular, the Chinese stocks highly co-move with the stocks of countries within a same geographical region. While the highest volatility spillover occurs between China and India among E7 countries, the highest volatility spillover occurs between China and Japan among G7 countries. Furthermore, the examination of optimal weights and hedge ratios suggest that investors should hold more stocks from G7 countries than E7 countries for their portfolios. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study which investigates the volatility spillover in the stock markets of G7 and E7 countries. Moreover, the current study contributes particularly to the existing limited literature on the Chinese stock market. Since the Chinese stock market is not fully integrated to other markets and it is subject to intense government interventions, there is a widely accepted belief that the contagion effects from the Chinese stock market to other stock markets are not influential. This view discourages and limits the prospect studies. However, the findings of this paper refute this view and indicate significant interaction among the Chinese stock market and E7 and G7 stock markets.