Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus (Japan)

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to determine the prospective association of smoking status, smoking intensity, and smoking cessation with the risk of hearing loss in a large Japanese cohort. METHODS: The cohort study included 50195 employees, who were aged 20-64 years and free of hearing loss at baseline. Participants were followed up for a maximum of 8 years. Pure-tone audiometric testing was performed annually to identify hearing loss at 1 and 4 kHz. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between smoking and hearing loss. RESULTS: During follow-up, 3532 individuals developed high-frequency hearing loss, and 1575 developed low-frequency hearing loss. The hazard ratio (HR) associated with current smokers was 1.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5 to 1.7) and 1.2 (95% CI = 1.1 to 1.4) for high- and low-frequency hearing loss, respectively, as compared with never smokers. The risk of high- and low-frequency hearing loss increased with the number of cigarettes smoked per day (both p for trend <.001). The HR associated with former smokers was 1.2 (95% CI = 1.1 to 1.3) and 0.9 (95% CI = 0.8 to 1.1) for high- and low-frequency hearing loss, respectively. The analysis by quitting years showed a decline in risk of hearing loss after quitting smoking, even among those who quitted less than 5 years before baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking is associated with increased risk of hearing loss, especially at the high frequency, in a dose-response manner. The excess risk of hearing loss associated with smoking disappears in a relatively short period after quitting. IMPLICATIONS: The prospective association between smoking and hearing loss has not been well studied. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the largest to date investigating the association between smoking and incident hearing loss. Our results indicate that smoking is associated with increased risk of hearing loss in a dose-response manner. Quitting smoking virtually eliminates the excess risk of hearing loss, even among quitters with short duration of cessation. These results suggest that smoking may be a causal factor for hearing loss, although further research would be required to confirm this. If so, this would emphasize the need for tobacco control to prevent or delay the development of hearing loss.

OBJECTIVE: Risk models and scores have been developed to predict incidence of type 2 diabetes in Western populations, but their performance may differ when applied to non-Western populations. We developed and validated a risk score for predicting 3-year incidence of type 2 diabetes in a Japanese population. METHODS: Participants were 37,416 men and women, aged 30 or older, who received periodic health checkup in 2008-2009 in eight companies. Diabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥ 126 mg/dl, random plasma glucose ≥ 200 mg/dl, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) ≥ 6.5%, or receiving medical treatment for diabetes. Risk scores on non-invasive and invasive models including FPG and HbA1c were developed using logistic regression in a derivation cohort and validated in the remaining cohort. RESULTS: The area under the curve (AUC) for the non-invasive model including age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference, hypertension, and smoking status was 0.717 (95% CI, 0.703-0.731). In the invasive model in which both FPG and HbA1c were added to the non-invasive model, AUC was increased to 0.893 (95% CI, 0.883-0.902). When the risk scores were applied to the validation cohort, AUCs (95% CI) for the non-invasive and invasive model were 0.734 (0.715-0.753) and 0.882 (0.868-0.895), respectively. Participants with a non-invasive score of ≥ 15 and invasive score of ≥ 19 were projected to have >20% and >50% risk, respectively, of developing type 2 diabetes within 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: The simple risk score of the non-invasive model might be useful for predicting incident type 2 diabetes, and its predictive performance may be markedly improved by incorporating FPG and HbA1c.

AIMS: The control of blood glucose levels, blood pressure (BP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels reduces the risk of diabetes complications; however, data are scarce on control status of these factors among workers with diabetes. The present study aimed to estimate the prevalence of participants with diabetes who meet glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), BP, and LDL-C recommendations, and to investigate correlates of poor glycemic control in a large working population in Japan. METHODS: The Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health (J-ECOH) Study is an ongoing cohort investigation, consisting mainly of employees in large manufacturing companies. We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 3,070 employees with diabetes (2,854 men and 216 women) aged 20-69 years who attended periodic health examinations. BP was measured and recorded using different company protocols. Risk factor targets were defined using both American Diabetes Association (ADA) guidelines (HbA1c < 7.0%, BP < 140/90 mmHg, and LDL-C < 100 mg/dL) and Japan Diabetes Society (JDS) guidelines (HbA1c < 7.0%, BP < 130/80 mmHg, and LDL-C < 120 mg/dL). Logistic regression models were used to explore correlates of poor glycemic control (defined as HbA1c ≥ 8.0%). RESULTS: The percentages of participants who met ADA (and JDS) targets were 44.9% (44.9%) for HbA1c, 76.6% (36.3%) for BP, 27.1% (56.2%) for LDL-C, and 11.2% (10.8%) for simultaneous control of all three risk factors. Younger age, obesity, smoking, and uncontrolled dyslipidemia were associated with poor glycemic control. The adjusted odds ratio of poor glycemic control was 0.58 (95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.73) for participants with treated but uncontrolled hypertension, and 0.47 (0.33-0.66) for participants with treated and controlled hypertension, as compared with participants without hypertension. There was no significant difference in HbA1c levels between participants with treated but uncontrolled hypertension and those with treated and controlled hypertension. CONCLUSION: Data from a large working population, predominantly composed of men, suggest that achievement of HbA1c, BP, and LDL-C targets was less than optimal, especially in younger participants. Uncontrolled dyslipidemia was associated with poor glycemic control. Participants not receiving antihypertensive treatment had higher HbA1c levels.

AIMS: To examine the association of smoking status, smoking intensity, and smoking cessation with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) using a large database. METHODS: The present study included 53,930 Japanese employees, aged 15 to 83 years, who received health check-up and did not have diabetes at baseline. Diabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose ≥126 mg/dl, random plasma glucose ≥200 mg/dl, HbA1c ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol), or receiving medication for diabetes. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between smoking and the risk of diabetes. RESULTS: During 3.9 years of median follow-up, 2,441 (4.5%) individuals developed T2D. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for diabetes were 1 (reference), 1.16 (1.04 to 1.30) and 1.34 (1.22 to 1.48) for never smokers, former smokers, and current smokers, respectively. Diabetes risk increased with increasing numbers of cigarette consumption among current smokers (P for trend <0.001). Although the relative risk of diabetes was greater among subjects with lower BMIs (< 23 kg/m2), attributable risk was greater in subjects with higher BMIs (≥ 23 kg/m2). Compared with individuals who had never smoked, former smokers who quit less than 5 years, 5 to 9 years, and 10 years or more exhibited hazards ratios for diabetes of 1.36 (1.14 to 1.62), 1.23 (1.01 to 1.51), and 1.02 (0.85 to 1.23), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that cigarette smoking is associated with an increased risk of T2D, which may decrease to the level of a never smoker after 10 years of smoking cessation.

OBJECTIVE Prediabetes has been suggested to increase risk for death; however, the definitions of prediabetes that can predict death remain elusive. We prospectively investigated the association of multiple definitions of prediabetes with the risk of death from all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer in Japanese workers. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS The study included 62,785 workers who underwent a health checkup in 2010 or 2011 and were followed up for death from 2012 to March 2019. Prediabetes was defined according to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) or glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) values or a combination of both using the American Diabetes Association (ADA) or World Health Organization (WHO)/International Expert Committee (IEC) criteria. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to investigate the associations. RESULTS Over a 7-year follow-up, 229 deaths were documented. Compared with normoglycemia, prediabetes defined according to ADA criteria was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.53; 95% CI 1.12–2.09) and death due to cancer (HR 2.37; 95% CI 1.45–3.89) but not with death due to CVD. The results were materially unchanged when prediabetes was defined according to ADA FPG, ADA HbA1c, WHO FPG, or combined WHO/IEC criteria. Diabetes was associated with the risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer deaths. CONCLUSIONS In a cohort of Japanese workers, FPG- and HbA1c-defined prediabetes, according to ADA or WHO/IEC, were associated with a significantly increased risk of death from all causes and cancer but not CVD.

BACKGROUND: We sought to establish the optimal waist circumference (WC) cut-off point for predicting diabetes mellitus (DM) and to compare the predictive ability of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) criteria of the Joint Interim Statement (JIS) and the Japanese Committee of the Criteria for MetS (JCCMS) for DM in Japanese. METHODS: Participants of the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study, who were aged 20-69 years and free of DM at baseline (n = 54,980), were followed-up for a maximum of 6 years. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off points of WC for predicting DM. Time-dependent sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for the prediction of DM were compared between the JIS and JCCMS MetS criteria. RESULTS: During 234,926 person-years of follow-up, 3180 individuals developed DM. Receiver operating characteristic analysis suggested that the most suitable cut-off point of WC for predicting incident DM was 85 cm for men and 80 cm for women. MetS was associated with 3-4 times increased hazard for developing DM in men and 7-9 times in women. Of the MetS criteria tested, the JIS criteria using our proposed WC cut-off points (85 cm for men and 80 cm for women) had the highest sensitivity (54.5 % for men and 43.5 % for women) for predicting DM. The sensitivity and specificity of the JCCMS MetS criteria were ~37.7 and 98.9 %, respectively. CONCLUSION: Data from the present large cohort of workers suggest that WC cut-offs of 85 cm for men and 80 cm for women may be appropriate for predicting DM for Japanese. The JIS criteria can detect more people who later develop DM than does the JCCMS criteria.

BACKGROUND: Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) has been suggested as a better screening tool than body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) for assessing cardiometabolic risk. However, most previous studies did not consider age. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants were 45,618 men and 8,092 women aged 15-84 years who received periodic health checkups in 9 companies in Japan. Clustering of cardiometabolic risk factors was defined by the existence of 2 or more of high blood pressure, hyperglycemia, and dyslipidemia. In both men and women, unadjusted area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver-operating characteristic curve for WHtR in detecting the clustering of cardiometabolic risk factors was significantly higher than that for either BMI or WC; the AUCs for WHtR, BMI, and WC, respectively, were 0.734, 0.705, and 0.717 in men and 0.782, 0.762, and 0.755 in women. After adjustment for age, however, such differences were not observed; the corresponding values were 0.702, 0.701, and 0.696 in men. In women, the age-adjusted AUC for BMI was slightly higher than for other indices (WHtR, 0.721; BMI, 0.726; WC, 0.707). CONCLUSIONS: The screening performance of WHtR for detecting the clustering cardiometabolic risk factors was not superior to that of BMI.

Background & aimsTo investigate trajectories of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) among prediabetic people who progressed to diabetes, people who remained with prediabetes, and those who returned to normoglycemia.MethodsWe used data from 22,945 prediabetic people who received an annual health checkup for up to eight years. The development of diabetes was defined using the American Diabetes Association criteria. People who did not progress to diabetes during the observation period were classified as ‘remained with prediabetes’ or ‘returned to normoglycemia’, based on their last health checkup data. Trajectories of BMI and WC were evaluated using linear mixed models for repeated measures, with adjustment for a wide range of covariates.ResultsDuring the study period, 2972 people progressed to diabetes, 4706 returned to normoglycemia, and 15,267 remained with prediabetes. People who progressed to diabetes had a larger increase in mean BMI from 7 years to 1 year prior to diagnosis, which was about three times that of people who remained with prediabetes (annual change rate, 0.20 [95% confidence interval; 0.15 to 0.24] vs 0.06 [0.04 to 0.08] kg/m2 per year, P < 0.001), regardless of their BMI levels at the initial health checkup. Among people who returned to normoglycemia, mean BMI remained almost the same over time (−0.04 [-0.09 to 0.002] kg/m2 per year), except for those with obesity (−0.16 [-0.28 to −0.05] kg/m2 per year). As for WC, the annual change rate among people who developed diabetes was about 7 times that of people who remained with prediabetes (0.38 [0.32 to 0.45] vs 0.05 [0.03 to 0.08] cm per year, P < 0.001). We also observed a constant mean WC over time among people who had no central obesity and later returned to normoglycemia (−0.02 [−0.06 to 0.03] cm per year), and an annual decrease in mean WC among those who had central obesity and later returned to normoglycemia (−0.40 [−0.47 to −0.32] cm per year).ConclusionsOur study provides strong evidence that avoiding weight gain could help prediabetic people minimize the risk of developing diabetes, regardless of whether they are obese. Losing weight could help obese people restore normoglycemia from a prediabetic state, whereas maintaining current weight may help nonobese people return to normoglycemia.

ABSTRACT Quantitatively evaluating the fatigue strength of ductile iron (DI) with casting surfaces involves several complicated factors such as surface roughness, transition of microstructures from surface to interior, several types of defects and residual stresses. Tension–compression fatigue tests have been performed using DI having casting surfaces composed of a ferritic structure, a ferrite‐pearlitic structure and a pearlitic structure. Residual stresses were relieved by annealing in order to separately evaluate each factor. The parameter model was applied for quantitative evaluation of fatigue strength. Surface roughness was considered to be mechanically equivalent to a defect, and the effective defect size due to the interaction between the surface roughness and a defect was defined. The present study proposes a method of evaluating the maximum defect size using statistics of extremes and the lower bound of the scatter of fatigue strength, for practical design.

BACKGROUND: The effect of smoking on mortality in working-age adults remains unclear. Accordingly, we compared the effects of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation on total and cause-specific mortality in a Japanese working population. METHODS AND RESULTS: <0.05 for all). Compared with never smokers, former smokers who quit <5 and ≥5 years before baseline had HRs (95% CIs) for total mortality of 1.80 (1.00-3.25) and 1.02 (0.57-1.82), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of workers, cigarette smoking was associated with increased risk of death from all and specific causes (including CVD and tobacco-related cancer), although these risks diminished 5 years after smoking cessation.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We examined a prospective association between serum creatinine levels and diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The present study included 31,343 male workers without diabetes, and aged between 20 and 64 years at baseline. We calculated the cumulative average of their serum creatinine over the study period. We defined diabetes as either glycated hemoglobin levels ≥6.5%, random glucose levels ≥200 mg/dL, fasting glucose levels ≥126 mg/dL or receiving antidiabetic treatment. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was carried out to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: With a median observation of 7.7 years, 2,509 participants developed diabetes. After adjusting for age, smoking, body mass index, hypertension and dyslipidemia, lower cumulative average serum creatinine levels were related to a greater diabetes risk: HRs were 1.56 (95% CI 1.35-1.82), 1.22 (1.09-1.35) and 1.06 (0.96-1.17) for the participants with serum creatinine <0.70, 0.70-0.79 and 0.80-0.89 mg/dL, respectively, compared with those with 0.90-1.20 mg/dL (P for trend <0.001). The serum creatinine-diabetes association was more pronounced among older adults (serum creatinine <0.70 vs 0.90-1.20 mg/dL, HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.37-2.00) than younger adults (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.02-1.71; P for interaction by age group = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Low serum creatinine is associated with an increased risk of diabetes. Screening serum creatinine levels can be used to identify those who are at high risk of diabetes.

Abstract Objective The present study aimed to estimate cumulative incidence of overweight and obesity and describe 5-year longitudinal changes in body mass index (BMI) in a large occupational cohort in Japan. Methods Participants were 55 229 Japanese employees, who were aged 20-59 years and attended at all subsequent annual health check-ups between 2009 and 2014. Mixed model analysis was performed to examine the effects of age and cohort by gender on BMI change, with age as a random variable. Cumulative incidence of overweight (23.0≤ BMI &amp;lt;27.5 kg/m2) and obesity (BMI ≥27.5 kg/m2) was calculated. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios for the incidence of overweight and obesity according to age group. Results The incidence of overweight and obesity was approximately double in men (28.3% and 6.7%, respectively) compared to women (14.3% and 3.9%, respectively). The incidence of obesity decreased with age in men, but did not differ according to age in women (P for trend: .02 and .89, respectively). Among overweight participants, the incidence of obesity was higher in women (18.9%) than men (14.5%) and decreased with advancing age (P for trend: &amp;lt;.001 in men and .003 in women). Mean BMI was higher in men than women in all age groups throughout the period. Younger cohorts tended to have a higher BMI change compared with older cohorts. Conclusions In this Japanese occupational cohort, transition from overweight to obesity is higher in women than men, and the more recent cohorts had a higher change in mean BMI than the older cohorts.

AIMS: We aimed to investigate the association between non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its subtypes. METHODS: In this contemporary cohort study, we analyzed the data of 63,814 Japanese employees aged ≥ 30 years, without known CVD in 2012 and who were followed up for up to 8 years. The non-HDL-C level was divided into 5 groups: ＜110, 110-129, 130-149, 150-169, and ≥ 170 mg/dL. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD and its subtypes associated with each non-HDL-C group, considering 130-149 mg/dL as the reference group. RESULTS: During the study period, 271 participants developed CVD, including 78 myocardial infarctions and 193 strokes (102 ischemic strokes, 89 hemorrhagic strokes, and 2 unknowns). A U-shaped association between non-HDL-C and stroke was observed. In the analysis of stroke subtypes, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for hemorrhagic stroke was 2.61 (1.19-5.72), 2.02 (0.95-4.29), 2.10 (1.01-4.36), and 1.98 (0.96-4.08), while that for ischemic stroke was 1.54 (0.77-3.07), 0.91 (0.46-1.80), 0.73 (0.38-1.41), and 1.50 (0.87-2.56) in the ＜110, 110-129, 150-169, and ≥ 170 mg/dL groups, respectively. Individuals with elevated non-HDL-C levels had a higher risk of myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: High non-HDL-C levels were associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction. Moreover, high and low non-HDL-C levels were associated with a high risk of stroke and its subtypes among Japanese workers.

BACKGROUND: Long-term sick-leave is a major public health problem, but data on its incidence in Japan are scarce. We aimed to present reference data for long-term sick-leave among private sector employees in Japan. METHODS: The study population comprised employees of 12 companies that participated in the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study. Details on medically certified sick-leave lasting ≥30 days were collected from each company. Age- and sex-specific incidence rate of sick-leave was calculated for the period of April 2012 to March 2014. RESULTS: A total of 1422 spells in men and 289 in women occurred during 162,989 and 30,645 person-years of observation, respectively. The three leading causes of sick-leave (percentage of total spells) were mental disorders (52%), neoplasms (12%), and injury (8%) for men; and mental disorders (35%), neoplasms (20%), and pregnancy-related disease (14%) for women. Incidence rate of sick-leave due to mental disorders was relatively high among men in their 20s-40s but tended to decrease with age among women. Incidence rate of sick-leave due to neoplasms started to increase after age 50 in men and after age 40 in women, making neoplasms the leading cause of sick-leave after age 50 for women and after age 60 for men and the second leading cause after age 40 for women and after age 50 for men. Pregnancy-related disease was the second leading cause of sick-leave among women aged 20-39 years. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that mental disorder, neoplasms, and pregnancy-related disease are the major causes of long-term sick-leave among private sector employees in Japan.

BACKGROUND: We prospectively examined the association of diabetes risk with the number of metabolic abnormalities, as well as their combinations, according to the presence or absence of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in a large-scale Japanese working population. METHODS: Participants included 55,271 workers at 11 companies who received periodic health check-ups between 2008 and 2013. The metabolic syndrome (MetS) components were defined using the 2009 Joint Interim Statement. IFG was defined as fasting plasma glucose 5.6-6.9 mmol/L. Diabetes newly diagnosed after the baseline examination was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. We calculated the hazard ratios (HRs) for diabetes incidence using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (median 4.95 years), 3183 subjects developed diabetes. In individuals with normal fasting glucose levels, the risk of diabetes increased steadily with the increasing number of MetS components; the multivariable-adjusted HRs for incident diabetes for the number of MetS components were 2.0, 4.3, 7.0, and 10.0 for one, two, three, or four MetS components, respectively, compared with the absence of components. A similar association was observed among individuals with IFG; the corresponding HRs were 17.6, 23.8, 33.9, and 40.7. The combinations that included central obesity appeared to be more strongly associated with diabetes risk than other combinations with the same number of MetS components within the same glucose status. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that risk stratification of individuals by the presence or absence of IFG and the number of MetS components can detect individuals with a high risk of diabetes.

The purpose of this study is to clarify the state of the heat loss in a direct-injection diesel engine. Originally developed thin-film thermocouples (TFTs) are embedded into the combustion chamber walls for accurate measurement of instantaneous surface temperature from which instantaneous heat flux is evaluated through the heat conduction equation. Measured points are arrayed on the cavity bottom, the cavity side wall, the piston top, and the cylinder head. The TFTs are designed and fabricated so that disturbance of the temperature field is minimized when they are embedded into the combustion chamber walls. As a result, it is observed that the behaviour of instantaneous temperature and heat flux depends on the radius of the measured point. Measured points located radially inwards seem to be influenced by the combustion flame considerably more than those located outwards because the flame is presumed to stay in and around the cavity which occupies a region around the central axis of the piston. On the other hand, the heat loss ratio, namely the ratio of lost heat to the heat supplied by the fuel, is larger than in a gasoline engine.

&lt;div class="htmlview paragraph"&gt;Thermal fatigue strength has recently become the most important performance required of disc brake rotors for heavy- and medium-duty trucks. Accordingly, gray cast iron with added nickel has been used for disc brake rotors. In this study, an evaluation method for thermal fatigue strength during simulation tests has been established, and it has been found that thermal fatigue strength is improved as graphite in the microstructure gets refined. The graphite gets more refined in proportion to the added amount of nickel or as a result of cerium inoculation. Therefore, by combining cerium inoculation with nickel addition, a low-cost disc brake rotor for heavy- and medium-duty trucks with high thermal fatigue strength has been developed.&lt;/div&gt;

OBJECTIVE: In contrast to the association between excess weight and sickness absence (SA), the association in relation to underweight has been under-researched. This study aimed to examine the effects of BMI at both extremes of its distribution on SA. METHODS: Data came from the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health study of 77,760 workers aged 20 to 59 years (66,166 males, 11,594 females). Information was collected on medically certified long-term SA (LTSA) (i.e., SA lasting ≥ 30 consecutive days) from April 2012 to March 2017. A sex-specific Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the associations. RESULTS: Among males, both obesity (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.50-2.17) and underweight (HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.23-1.96) were significantly associated with LTSA compared with normal weight. This U-shaped association between BMI categories and LTSA was observed both for mental and physical disorders. Among females, an elevated risk was observed among those with overweight (HR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.16-2.05). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of the Japanese working-age population, both obesity and underweight were associated with a greater risk of LTSA in males. Future research should not overlook the excess risk of LTSA associated with underweight.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We previously developed a 3-year diabetes risk score in the working population. The objective of the present study was to develop and validate flexible risk models that can predict the risk of diabetes for any arbitrary time-point during 7 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The participants were 46,198 Japanese employees aged 30-59 years, without diabetes at baseline and with a maximum follow-up period of 8 years. Incident diabetes was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. With routine health checkup data (age, sex, abdominal obesity, body mass index, smoking status, hypertension status, dyslipidemia, glycated hemoglobin and fasting plasma glucose), we developed non-invasive and invasive risk models based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model among a random two-thirds of the participants, and used another one-third for validation. RESULTS: The range of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.73 (95% confidence interval 0.72-0.74) for the non-invasive prediction model to 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.89-0.90) for the invasive prediction model containing dyslipidemia, glycated hemoglobin and fasting plasma glucose. The invasive models showed improved integrated discrimination and reclassification performance, as compared with the non-invasive model. Calibration appeared good between the predicted and observed risks. These models performed well in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The present non-invasive and invasive models for the prediction of diabetes risk up to 7 years showed fair and excellent performance, respectively. The invasive models can be used to identify high-risk individuals, who would benefit greatly from lifestyle modification for the prevention or delay of diabetes.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We examined the association between hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and anemia, which was categorized into three groups according to mean corpuscular volume (MCV), as well as the association between hemoglobin in the non-anemic range and HbA1c. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used the 2016 health checkup data from 36,422 workers without diabetes. Anemic people were divided into three groups based on MCV: <80, 80-90 and >90 fL. Non-anemic people were divided into four groups based on their hemoglobin levels. We carried out multiple linear regression models to estimate the means and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of HbA1c. RESULTS: For men, 0.2% had anemia with MCV <80 fL, 0.5% had anemia with MCV 80-90 fL, 0.9% had anemia with MCV >90 fL and 98.4% had no anemia. For women, the corresponding values were 6.1, 6.4, 2.8 and 84.7%, respectively. The adjusted mean HbA1c (%) values for men with anemia with MCV <80, 80-90 and >90 fL were 5.67 (95% CI 5.60-5.74), 5.58 (95% CI 5.54-5.62) and 5.41 (95% CI 5.37-5.44), respectively. Among men without anemia, HbA1c (%) increased from 5.36 (95% CI 5.34-5.39) in those with hemoglobin ≥17.5 mg/dL to 5.45 (95% CI 5.45-5.46) in those with hemoglobin 13.0 to <14.5 mg/dL (P for trend <0.001). The HbA1c values were higher in men with anemia with MCV <80 fL or MCV 80-90 fL, but lower in men with MCV >90 fL, compared with non-anemic men with hemoglobin 13.0 to <14.5 mg/dL (All P < 0.001). Similar findings were observed in women. CONCLUSIONS: We observed elevated HbA1c among anemic people with MCV <80 fL or MCV 80-90 fL, and decreased HbA1c among anemic people with MCV >90 fL, suggesting that different types of anemia might influence HbA1c differently. In addition, non-anemic people with lower hemoglobin levels had higher HbA1c levels, suggesting that hemoglobin levels are in need of consideration when interpreting HbA1c values among non-anemic people.