Short-Run Multi-Outcome Effects of Nightlife Regulation in San Juan
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Shared by Gary on Nov 1, 2025 • 12:59 AM UTC
NobleBlocks IDNB5355056A
Authors:
Jorge A. Arroyo
Abstract
I evaluate San Juan, Puerto Rico’s late-night alcohol sales ordinance using a multi-outcome synthetic control that pools economic and public-safety series. I show that a common-weight estimator clarifies mechanisms under low-rank outcome structure. I find economically mean- meaningful reallocations ...
Highlights
-Demonstrates how common-weight MOSC improves cross-outcome interpretability when outcomes share low-rank structure.
-Documents economically meaningful short-run changes in targeted sectors alongside near-zero effects on crime.
-Shows how a six-donor pool and short post-period influence statistical power, emphasizing magnitude and persistence over conventional significance.
-Illustrates a hotel exemption mechanism and measurement asymmetry as a driver of employment-revenue divergence.
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