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Conditional simulation for efficient global optimization

Published in 2013 Winter Simulations Conference (WSC) • Dec 1, 2013
NobleIDNI2P181W373R838S032
Authors:
J.P.C. Kleijnen
,
Ehsan Mehdad

Abstract

A classic Kriging or Gaussian process (GP) metamodel estimates the variance of its predictor by plugging-in the estimated GP (hyper)parameters; namely, the mean, variance, and covariances. The problem is that this predictor variance is biased. To solve this problem for deterministic simulations, we ...

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