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Structural causal differences

Published • Jul 11, 2025
NobleIDNI5P206W933R406S991
Authors:
Simon Stephan
,
Sarah Placì
,
Michael R. Waldmann

Abstract

We investigate how lay people transfer causal estimates from one situation to another. As causal estimate, we take the predictive probability of a target effect given its cause, P(e|c). Normatively, P(e|c) should change if the underlying causal structure changes in an estimation-relevant way. We her...

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