St Mary's Hospital

BACKGROUND: In patients with type 2 diabetes, the effects of intensive glucose control on vascular outcomes remain uncertain. METHODS: We randomly assigned 11,140 patients with type 2 diabetes to undergo either standard glucose control or intensive glucose control, defined as the use of gliclazide (modified release) plus other drugs as required to achieve a glycated hemoglobin value of 6.5% or less. Primary end points were composites of major macrovascular events (death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke) and major microvascular events (new or worsening nephropathy or retinopathy), assessed both jointly and separately. RESULTS: After a median of 5 years of follow-up, the mean glycated hemoglobin level was lower in the intensive-control group (6.5%) than in the standard-control group (7.3%). Intensive control reduced the incidence of combined major macrovascular and microvascular events (18.1%, vs. 20.0% with standard control; hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 0.98; P=0.01), as well as that of major microvascular events (9.4% vs. 10.9%; hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77 to 0.97; P=0.01), primarily because of a reduction in the incidence of nephropathy (4.1% vs. 5.2%; hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.93; P=0.006), with no significant effect on retinopathy (P=0.50). There were no significant effects of the type of glucose control on major macrovascular events (hazard ratio with intensive control, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.84 to 1.06; P=0.32), death from cardiovascular causes (hazard ratio with intensive control, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.74 to 1.04; P=0.12), or death from any cause (hazard ratio with intensive control, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.06; P=0.28). Severe hypoglycemia, although uncommon, was more common in the intensive-control group (2.7%, vs. 1.5% in the standard-control group; hazard ratio, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.42 to 2.40; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A strategy of intensive glucose control, involving gliclazide (modified release) and other drugs as required, that lowered the glycated hemoglobin value to 6.5% yielded a 10% relative reduction in the combined outcome of major macrovascular and microvascular events, primarily as a consequence of a 21% relative reduction in nephropathy. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00145925.)

AIMS: To establish a unified working diagnostic tool for the metabolic syndrome (MetS) that is convenient to use in clinical practice and that can be used world-wide so that data from different countries can be compared. An additional aim was to highlight areas where more research into the MetS is needed. PARTICIPANTS: The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) convened a workshop held 12-14 May 2004 in London, UK. The 21 participants included experts in the fields of diabetes, public health, epidemiology, lipidology, genetics, metabolism, nutrition and cardiology. There were participants from each of the five continents as well as from the World Health Organization (WHO) and the National Cholesterol Education Program-Third Adult Treatment Panel (ATP III). The workshop was sponsored by an educational grant from AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals. CONSENSUS PROCESS: The consensus statement emerged following detailed discussions at the IDF workshop. After the workshop, a writing group produced a consensus statement which was reviewed and approved by all participants. CONCLUSIONS: The IDF has produced a new set of criteria for use both epidemiologically and in clinical practice world-wide with the aim of identifying people with the MetS to clarify the nature of the syndrome and to focus therapeutic strategies to reduce the long-term risk of cardiovascular disease. Guidance is included on how to compensate for differences in waist circumference and in regional adipose tissue distribution between different populations. The IDF has also produced recommendations for additional criteria that should be included when studying the MetS for research purposes. Finally, the IDF has identified areas where more studies are currently needed; these include research into the aetiology of the syndrome.

The growing worldwide prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the young, as underlined by an earlier International Diabetes Federation (IDF) Consensus Statement 1, has highlighted a significant shortfall of data on the epidemiology of the disorder and the identification and treatment of children and adolescents at risk of progression to this disease. Urbanization, unhealthy diets, and increasingly sedentary lifestyles have contributed to increase the prevalence of childhood obesity, particularly in developing countries 2. Current treatment initiatives include school-based programs addressing physical activity and diet, which have been conducted with mixed success in reducing adiposity. There are limited safety data supporting the use of drugs for the treatment of obesity and related conditions such as type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents, and non-compliance in this population suggests that pharmacotherapy is unlikely to be effective long term 1. Although criteria have now been developed for bariatric surgery in teenagers 3, there are few evidence-based data available to support the increasing use of this modality in adolescents. Governments and society in general must be made more aware of the problems associated with obesity and the likelihood of progression to the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents. Obesity, particularly in the central (abdominal) region, has been determined as a key factor in the etiology of type 2 diabetes 2. The prediction of health risks associated with obesity in youth is improved by the additional inclusion of waist circumference (WC) measure to the body mass index (BMI) percentile 4, 5. Such observations reinforce the importance of including WC in the assessment of childhood obesity to identify those at increased metabolic risk as a result of excess abdominal fat 5. The role of obesity can clearly be demonstrated in Japan, where a parallel increase in type 2 diabetes and obesity in children has occurred over the past few decades 6. Central (abdominal) obesity is also a key component in the IDF definition of metabolic syndrome in adults 2. The link between obesity, metabolic syndrome, and type 2 diabetes has already been characterized in adult populations 2. At present, 50–80% of almost 250 million adults worldwide with diabetes 7 are at risk of death from cardiovascular disease. Those with the metabolic syndrome are also at increased risk being twice as likely to die from, and three times as likely to have, cardiovascular complications as compared with those without the syndrome 8, 9. In addition, adults with the metabolic syndrome have a fivefold greater risk of developing type 2 diabetes 10. Already, one-quarter of the world’s adult population have metabolic syndrome 11, 12, and this condition is appearing with increasing frequency in children and adolescents, driven by the growing obesity epidemic in this young population 13-15. In 2004, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported that an estimated 22 million children younger than 5 yr of age and 10% of school-aged children, between 5 and 17 yr, were overweight or obese 16. WHO predicts that the prevalence of childhood obesity in developed and developing countries will continue to increase as has been seen in recent years. For example, from 1985 to 1997, in young Australians, the prevalence of overweight and obesity combined doubled and that of obesity trebled 17. In Thailand, the prevalence of obesity in those aged 5–12 yr increased from 12.2 to 15.6% in just 2 yr 18. In 2003–2004, 17.1% of children aged 2–19 yr in the USA were obese 19. Obesity is associated with an increase in cardiovascular risk factors (also indicators of metabolic syndrome) 20, and the persistence of these indicators from childhood and adolescence to young adulthood has been shown in several studies, including the Quebec Family Study 21, 22. Recently, the IDF released its guidelines for defining and diagnosing the metabolic syndrome in adults 2. The intention was to rationalize the existing multiple definitions of the syndrome and to avoid the confusion that arose as a result of conflicting opinions on the value of each set of criteria. The use of a single unified definition makes it possible to estimate the global prevalence of metabolic syndrome and make valid comparisons between nations. However, to date, there has not been a unified definition that can be used to assess risk in children and adolescents, and existing adult-based definitions of the metabolic syndrome may not be appropriate to address the problem in this age group. A study of adolescents using modified National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) [Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III)] criteria 23 identified that 12% of the study group had the metabolic syndrome 24. When the ≥95th percentile of BMI was used as a cutoff point in the same study group, 31.3% were identified as having the syndrome, more than double of those previously found to be at risk. Duncan et al. 25 studied 991 adolescents (aged 12–19 yr) from National Health and Nutrition Examination Study (NHANES) 1999–2000 and used the ATP III definition modified for age. The overall prevalence of a metabolic syndrome phenotype among US adolescents increased from 4.2% in NHANES III (1988–1992) to 6.4% in NHANES 1999–2000. Based on population-weighted estimates, they estimated that more than 2 million US adolescents currently have a metabolic syndrome phenotype. In a population-based study of a Canadian Qji-Cree community involving 236 children aged 10–19 yr, Retnakaran et al. reported that 18.6% of the children met the criteria for the metabolic syndrome based on a pediatric metabolic syndrome definition based on the ATP III definition, and they used the ATP III definition modified for age and gender 26. Goodman et al. reported on a school-based, cross-sectional study of 1513 black, white, and Hispanic teenagers 27. Overall, the prevalence of ATP III-defined metabolic syndrome was 4.2% and that of the WHO-defined metabolic syndrome was 8.4%. The metabolic syndrome was found almost exclusively among obese teenagers in whom prevalence of the ATP III-defined metabolic syndrome was 19.5% and prevalence of WHO-defined metabolic syndrome 28 was 38.9%. No race or sex differences were present for ATP III definition. However, non-white teenagers were more likely to have metabolic syndrome by WHO criteria, and it was more common among girls if the WHO definition was used. Chi et al. have recently undertaken a literature review on definitions of the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents published in the past decade 29. They noted that the prevalence of metabolic syndrome in pre-adolescent girls varies widely because of disagreement among proposed definitions of metabolic syndrome in pediatrics. They called for a consensus definition for the metabolic syndrome in children, which would allow researchers to make better temporal, biological, environmental, and social comparisons between data sets. The American College of Endocrinology definition 30 is not ideal in pediatric subjects as WC is rarely measured in children, and nomograms have only recently become available 31 for some ethnic groups but are not available for all. A recent paper has suggested yet another set of criteria with age- and gender-specific cutoff points 32. The variety of cutoff points used for the different components in this paper underlines the need for a single consistent definition with easily measurable components. Therefore, to date, no formal definition for the diagnosis of the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents has been developed. The rapid increase in obesity highlights the urgency for a definition that could be used to further understand who is at high risk and to distinguish them from those with ‘simple’ uncomplicated obesity. The metabolic syndrome in adults is defined as a cluster of cardiovascular and diabetes risk factors including abdominal obesity, dyslipidemia, glucose intolerance, and hypertension 2. While the danger associated with clustering of components of the metabolic syndrome has been demonstrated in adults, where the presence of three or more components significantly increases the risk for coronary heart disease death/non-fatal myocardial infarction and the onset of new diabetes 33, few, if any, outcome data in children exist. While one definition, although with gender- and ethnicity-specific cutoff points, is suitable for use in the at-risk adult population 2, transposing a single definition to children and adolescents is problematic. Blood pressure, lipid levels, and anthropometric variables change with age and pubertal development. Puberty impacts on fat distribution and is known to cause a decrease both in insulin sensitivity, of approximately 30% with a complementary increase in insulin secretion 34, and in adiponectin levels 35. Therefore, single cutoff points cannot be used to define abnormalities in children. Instead, values above the 90th, 95th, or 97th percentile for gender and age are used. However, there has not been universal agreement as to which level to use for the criteria for the metabolic syndrome. The importance of the early identification of children at risk of developing the metabolic syndrome and subsequently progressing to type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in later life must not be underestimated. From birth and before, circumstances can predispose a child to conditions such as obesity or dysglycemia. The presence of maternal gestational diabetes 36, low birth weight 37, infant feeding practices 38, early adiposity rebound 39, and genetic factors may all contribute to a child’s future level of risk. Being raised in an ‘obesogenic’ environment can also have a strong impact, as can the influence of socioeconomic factors 40, with weight gain often being observed as a positive correlate to affluence in developing countries. Longitudinal outcome studies and further research on the progression and etiology of the metabolic syndrome are urgently required to ascertain the long-term outcomes of abdominal obesity and clustering of the components of metabolic syndrome in at-risk children and to help improve future definitions of the syndrome. This new IDF definition of metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents was developed during a consensus workshop that brought together experts in the field of the metabolic syndrome and pediatrics. The purpose of the new definition of metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents is to expand on the IDF recommendations for managing type 2 diabetes in the young 1 and to provide a useful and unified tool for identifying those at risk. A clinically accessible diagnostic tool, avoiding measurements that may only be available in research settings, is needed to identify the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents globally. This need has prompted the IDF to develop a definition that has used the limited data available from existing studies in youth. As with the adult criteria, we look on these new criteria as a starting point. As new information emerges, they can be modified. Inspired, in part, by the IDF worldwide definition of metabolic syndrome in adults 2, this new definition builds on previous studies investigating the prevalence of metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents, which have used modified adult criteria with varying cutoff points 12-14, 41, 42 (Table 1). The wide variety of cutoff points used has emphasized the need for a single consistent set of criteria, which is easily measurable and can be used as the basis for future work 29. Because of the developmental challenges presented by the age-related differences in children and adolescents, the new IDF definition of metabolic syndrome has been divided according to the following age groups: 6 to <10, 10 to <16, and ≥16 yr (Table 2). In all the three age groups, abdominal obesity is the ‘sine qua non’. We suggest that below the age of 10 yr, the metabolic syndrome as an entity is not diagnosed, although a strong message for weight reduction will be made for these children. At the age of 10 yr and more, a diagnosis of metabolic syndrome can be made. It requires the presence of abdominal obesity plus the presence of two or more of the other components (elevated triglycerides, low high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol, high blood pressure, and elevated plasma glucose). The IDF adult criteria 2 can be used for adolescents aged ≥16 yr, while a modified version of these criteria will be applied to those aged 10 to <16 yr (use 90th percentile cutoff point for waist and <40 mg/dL of HDL for both sexes). On the basis of emerging new data, these criteria may change in the future. In adults, insulin resistance and abdominal obesity are considered to be significant causative factors in the development of the metabolic syndrome 9, 43, 44. The link between obesity, insulin resistance, and the risk of developing the metabolic syndrome has also been described in children 22, 27. With measurement of insulin resistance considered to be impractical for clinical use, abdominal adiposity was positioned as the ‘sine qua non’ in the IDF definition of metabolic syndrome in adults 2 and is recognized to be an independent risk factor for the development of cardiovascular disease in adults 45. Abdominal obesity can be easily assessed using the simple measure of WC, which is known to correlate more strongly with visceral adipose tissue (VAT) than BMI in adults 46 and is a strong predictor of cardiovascular disease risk factors in children 47. The correlation between WC and VAT has also been more recently demonstrated in children 48, further strengthening the existing evidence that WC is an effective measure of abdominal obesity 49 in the youth population. In children and adolescents, a number of studies have demonstrated a similar link between childhood obesity and elevated cardiovascular risk in later life. The Bogalusa Heart study showed that childhood overweight is related to the development of adverse risk factors (BMI, lipids, insulin, diabetes mellitus, and blood pressure) in adulthood and is attributable to the strong persistence of weight status from childhood to adulthood 50. Of the overweight children in the Bogalusa Heart study (BMI ≥95th percentile), 77% remained obese in adulthood. Furthermore, the Muscatine study demonstrated that in young adults, excess weight was the earliest predictor of coronary artery calcification 51. The ATP III definition, applied to a cohort of individuals aged 12–19 yr (NHANES III), identified that 4% of those studied were found to have the metabolic syndrome, with 80% of those meeting the criteria of being overweight 13. Using a modified version of the ATP III definition, metabolic syndrome in adolescents has also been linked to high levels of C-reactive protein, a pro-inflammatory marker. Of the five components of metabolic syndrome, C-reactive protein was higher only among those with abdominal obesity 41. Waist circumference in children is an independent predictor of insulin resistance, lipid levels, and blood pressure 4, 52-54– all components of metabolic syndrome. Moreover, in obese youth with similar BMI, insulin sensitivity is lower in those with high VAT and high waist/hip ratio 53, 54. Furthermore, insulin sensitivity decreases and insulin levels increase with increasing WC percentiles 3. These data, combined with the unequivocal evidence of the dangers of abdominal obesity in adulthood, support the use of abdominal obesity as the ‘sine qua non’ for the diagnosis of metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents. Percentiles rather than absolute values of WC have been used in the new criteria to compensate for varying degrees of development and ethnicity in the youth population. WC percentile data are becoming increasingly available worldwide 31, 55-58. Children with a WC >90th percentile are more likely to have multiple risk factors than those with a WC below this level 59. Several studies attempting to estimate the prevalence of metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents have already used the 90th percentile as a cutoff point for WC 13, 14, 41. We have also chosen to use the 90th percentile as a cutoff point for WC based on this existing evidence and aim to reassess criteria and cutoff points in 5 yr and modify the guidelines, if necessary, based on the new outcome data. Previous studies investigating the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents have used a range of cutoff points primarily based on ATP III criteria for categorizing additional components of the syndrome, i.e., triglycerides, HDL-cholesterol, blood pressure, and fasting glucose (Table 1) 12-14, 41, 42. Other definitive sources include the National High Blood Pressure Education Program, which recommends blood pressure cutoff points of >90th or >95th percentile adjusted for height, age, and gender to identify ‘high normal’ blood pressure or prehypertension and high blood pressure or hypertension in children and adolescents 60. Cutoff points for impaired fasting glucose have previously followed recommendations by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) [100–125 mg/dL (≥5.6–6.9 mmol/L)] 61 and the NCEP/ATP III in adults [≥110 mg/dL (6.1 mmol/L)] 23, although the latter has recently changed to the lower ADA recommended levels 62. Criteria for defining lipid (triglyceride and HDL-cholesterol) imbalances are even less consistent in the youth population, with recommendations by the NCEP/ATP III (age specific), NHANES III (age and gender specific), and the National Growth and Health Study (age, gender, and ethnic specific), employing either absolute value or percentile cutoff points. In view of this lack of consistency, we believe that use of the adult levels for the present is wise until further information is available. We recommend the following topics as priorities for future research: Develop a better understanding of the relationship between body fat and its distribution in children and adolescents, e.g., dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA), WC, BMI, and height and weight percentiles; a) Explore whether early growth patterns predict future adiposity and features of the metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease and b) explore whether low birth weight predicts future metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease; Perform factor analysis in children and adolescents to establish grouping of metabolic characteristics – adiposity, dyslipidemia, hyperinsulinemia, hypoadiponectinemia, and insulin resistance; Investigate how should obesity in children could be better defined, e.g., weight/height, WC etc.; Develop ethnic-specific normal ranges for WC, ideally based on healthy values; Perform ethnic-specific studies of WC etc. vs. abdominal (truncal) fat based on magnetic resonance imaging and DEXA; Support studies of adiponectin, leptin, etc. in children and adolescents to determine if they may be predictors of metabolic syndrome in adulthood; Initiate long-term studies of multi-ethnic cohorts followed into adulthood to determine the natural history and effectiveness of intervention strategies, particularly lifestyle. In conclusion, to combat any conflict that could arise from these multiple interpretations of the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents, the IDF consensus group has aimed primarily at developing a simple, easy-to-apply definition to begin using in the clinical setting. In the absence of definitive research findings at this time, the proposed IDF definition of the metabolic syndrome in children and adolescents (Table 2) adheres to the absolute values presented in the adult definition 2, with the exception of WC. As described previously, until such time that outcome data from studies in children and adolescents indicate otherwise, WC percentiles are recommended for use. Early detection, followed by treatment in the form of lifestyle intervention and possibly pharmacotherapy, if its safety has been clearly demonstrated, is vital in halting the progression of this syndrome pathway in the adolescent population. It is likely that this will reduce morbidity and mortality in adulthood, as well as minimize the global socioeconomic burden of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes. The workshop was sponsored by an unrestricted educational grant to the IDF Task Force on Epidemiology and Prevention from sanofi-aventis.

BACKGROUND: Randomised placebo-controlled trials have shown that daily oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with tenofovir-emtricitabine reduces the risk of HIV infection. However, this benefit could be counteracted by risk compensation in users of PrEP. We did the PROUD study to assess this effect. METHODS: PROUD is an open-label randomised trial done at 13 sexual health clinics in England. We enrolled HIV-negative gay and other men who have sex with men who had had anal intercourse without a condom in the previous 90 days. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive daily combined tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (245 mg) and emtricitabine (200 mg) either immediately or after a deferral period of 1 year. Randomisation was done via web-based access to a central computer-generated list with variable block sizes (stratified by clinical site). Follow-up was quarterly. The primary outcomes for the pilot phase were time to accrue 500 participants and retention; secondary outcomes included incident HIV infection during the deferral period, safety, adherence, and risk compensation. The trial is registered with ISRCTN (number ISRCTN94465371) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02065986). FINDINGS: We enrolled 544 participants (275 in the immediate group, 269 in the deferred group) between Nov 29, 2012, and April 30, 2014. Based on early evidence of effectiveness, the trial steering committee recommended on Oct 13, 2014, that all deferred participants be offered PrEP. Follow-up for HIV incidence was complete for 243 (94%) of 259 patient-years in the immediate group versus 222 (90%) of 245 patient-years in the deferred group. Three HIV infections occurred in the immediate group (1·2/100 person-years) versus 20 in the deferred group (9·0/100 person-years) despite 174 prescriptions of post-exposure prophylaxis in the deferred group (relative reduction 86%, 90% CI 64-96, p=0·0001; absolute difference 7·8/100 person-years, 90% CI 4·3-11·3). 13 men (90% CI 9-23) in a similar population would need access to 1 year of PrEP to avert one HIV infection. We recorded no serious adverse drug reactions; 28 adverse events, most commonly nausea, headache, and arthralgia, resulted in interruption of PrEp. We detected no difference in the occurrence of sexually transmitted infections, including rectal gonorrhoea and chlamydia, between groups, despite a suggestion of risk compensation among some PrEP recipients. INTERPRETATION: In this high incidence population, daily tenofovir-emtricitabine conferred even higher protection against HIV than in placebo-controlled trials, refuting concerns that effectiveness would be less in a real-world setting. There was no evidence of an increase in other sexually transmitted infections. Our findings strongly support the addition of PrEP to the standard of prevention for men who have sex with men at risk of HIV infection. FUNDING: MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Public Health England, and Gilead Sciences.

OBJECTIVE: The literature suggests a lack of consensus on the use of terms related to coeliac disease (CD) and gluten. DESIGN: A multidisciplinary task force of 16 physicians from seven countries used the electronic database PubMed to review the literature for CD-related terms up to January 2011. Teams of physicians then suggested a definition for each term, followed by feedback of these definitions through a web survey on definitions, discussions during a meeting in Oslo and phone conferences. In addition to 'CD', the following descriptors of CD were evaluated (in alphabetical order): asymptomatic, atypical, classical, latent, non-classical, overt, paediatric classical, potential, refractory, silent, subclinical, symptomatic, typical, CD serology, CD autoimmunity, genetically at risk of CD, dermatitis herpetiformis, gluten, gluten ataxia, gluten intolerance, gluten sensitivity and gliadin-specific antibodies. RESULTS: CD was defined as 'a chronic small intestinal immune-mediated enteropathy precipitated by exposure to dietary gluten in genetically predisposed individuals'. Classical CD was defined as 'CD presenting with signs and symptoms of malabsorption. Diarrhoea, steatorrhoea, weight loss or growth failure is required.' 'Gluten-related disorders' is the suggested umbrella term for all diseases triggered by gluten and the term gluten intolerance should not to be used. Other definitions are presented in the paper. CONCLUSION: This paper presents the Oslo definitions for CD-related terms.

International audience

Importance: Catheter ablation is effective in restoring sinus rhythm in atrial fibrillation (AF), but its effects on long-term mortality and stroke risk are uncertain. Objective: To determine whether catheter ablation is more effective than conventional medical therapy for improving outcomes in AF. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Catheter Ablation vs Antiarrhythmic Drug Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation trial is an investigator-initiated, open-label, multicenter, randomized trial involving 126 centers in 10 countries. A total of 2204 symptomatic patients with AF aged 65 years and older or younger than 65 years with 1 or more risk factors for stroke were enrolled from November 2009 to April 2016, with follow-up through December 31, 2017. Interventions: The catheter ablation group (n = 1108) underwent pulmonary vein isolation, with additional ablative procedures at the discretion of site investigators. The drug therapy group (n = 1096) received standard rhythm and/or rate control drugs guided by contemporaneous guidelines. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was a composite of death, disabling stroke, serious bleeding, or cardiac arrest. Among 13 prespecified secondary end points, 3 are included in this report: all-cause mortality; total mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization; and AF recurrence. Results: Of the 2204 patients randomized (median age, 68 years; 37.2% female; 42.9% had paroxysmal AF and 57.1% had persistent AF), 89.3% completed the trial. Of the patients assigned to catheter ablation, 1006 (90.8%) underwent the procedure. Of the patients assigned to drug therapy, 301 (27.5%) ultimately received catheter ablation. In the intention-to-treat analysis, over a median follow-up of 48.5 months, the primary end point occurred in 8.0% (n = 89) of patients in the ablation group vs 9.2% (n = 101) of patients in the drug therapy group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.86 [95% CI, 0.65-1.15]; P = .30). Among the secondary end points, outcomes in the ablation group vs the drug therapy group, respectively, were 5.2% vs 6.1% for all-cause mortality (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.60-1.21]; P = .38), 51.7% vs 58.1% for death or cardiovascular hospitalization (HR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.74-0.93]; P = .001), and 49.9% vs 69.5% for AF recurrence (HR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.45-0.60]; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with AF, the strategy of catheter ablation, compared with medical therapy, did not significantly reduce the primary composite end point of death, disabling stroke, serious bleeding, or cardiac arrest. However, the estimated treatment effect of catheter ablation was affected by lower-than-expected event rates and treatment crossovers, which should be considered in interpreting the results of the trial. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00911508.

Epidemiologists and psychoanalysts have been equally concerned about the intergenera-tional concordance of disturbed patterns of attachment. Mary Main's introduction of the Adult Attachment Interview (AAI) has provided the field with an empirical tool for examining the concordance of parental and infant attachment patterns. In the context of a prospective study of the influence of parental patterns of attachment assessed before the birth of the first child upon the child's pattern of attachment to that parent at 1 year and at 18 months, the Anna Freud Centre—University College London Parent-Child Project reported a significant level of concordance between parental security and the infant's security with that parent. In the context of this study, a new measure, aiming to assess the parent's capacity for understanding mental states, was developed and is reported on in this paper. The rating of Reflective-Self Function, based upon AAI transcripts, correlated significantly with infant security classification based on Strange Situation assessments. The philosophical background and clinical importance of the measure are discussed. Les épidémiologues et les psychanalystes sont tout aussi bien concernés et intéressés par la concordance intergénérationnelle de patterns d'attachement perturbés. L'introduction qu'a faite Mary Main de l'Interview d'Attachement Adulte a fourni un outil empirique pour l'examen de la concordance des patterns d'attachement parental et infantile. Dans le contexte d'une étude future de l'influence des patterns d'attachement parental évaluée avant la naissance du premier enfant sur le pattern d'attachement de l'enfant envers ce parent à l'ǎge d'un an et à dix-huit mois, le Centre Anna Freud, University College Londres, Parent-Child Project, a signalé un niveau significatif de concordance entre la sécurité parentale et la sécurité du nourrisson avec ce parent. Dans le contexte de cette étude, une nouvelle mesure, ayant pour but d'évaluer la capacité du parent à comprendre les états mentaux a été développée et fait l'objet d'un rapport dans ce travail. L'évaluation de l''“Observing Self Function,” basée sur la transcription de l'Interview d'Attachement Adulte, correspondait de manière signicative à la classification de la sécurité du nourrisson basée sur les évaluations de Situation Etrange. L'arrière-plan philosophique et l'importance clinique de la mesure sont discutés.

There are 9 million cases of active tuberculosis reported annually; however, an estimated one-third of the world's population is infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and remains asymptomatic. Of these latent individuals, only 5-10% will develop active tuberculosis disease in their lifetime. CD4(+) T cells, as well as the cytokines IL-12, IFN-γ, and TNF, are critical in the control of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, but the host factors that determine why some individuals are protected from infection while others go on to develop disease are unclear. Genetic factors of the host and of the pathogen itself may be associated with an increased risk of patients developing active tuberculosis. This review aims to summarize what we know about the immune response in tuberculosis, in human disease, and in a range of experimental models, all of which are essential to advancing our mechanistic knowledge base of the host-pathogen interactions that influence disease outcome.

During the past decade, catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) has evolved rapidly from a highly experimental unproven procedure, to its current status as a commonly performed ablation procedure in many major hospitals throughout the world. Surgical ablation of AF, using either standard or minimally invasive techniques, is also performed in many major hospitals throughout the world. The purpose of this Consensus Statement is to provide a state-of-the-art review of the field of catheter and surgical ablation of AF, and to report the findings of a Task Force, convened by the Heart Rhythm Society and charged with defining the indications, techniques, and outcomes of this procedure. The Heart Rhythm Society was pleased to develop this Consensus Statement in partnership with the European Heart Rhythm Association and the European Cardiac Arrhythmia Society. This statement summarizes the opinion of the Task Force members based on their own experience in treating patients, as well as a review of the literature, and is directed to all health care professionals who are involved in the care of patients with AF, particularly those who are undergoing or are being considered for catheter or surgical ablation procedures for AF. This statement is not intended to recommend or promote catheter ablation of AF. Rather the ultimate judgment regarding care of a particular patient must be made by the health care provider and patient in light of all the circumstances presented by that patient. In writing a "consensus" document, it is recognized that consensus does not mean that there was complete agreement among all Task Force members. We attempted to identify those aspects of AF ablation for which a true "consensus" could be identified ( Tables 1 and 2 ). Surveys of the entire Task Force were used to identify these areas of consensus. The main objective of this document is …

OBJECTIVES: To develop evidence-based recommendations for clinicians caring for children (including infants, school-aged children, and adolescents) with septic shock and other sepsis-associated organ dysfunction. DESIGN: A panel of 49 international experts, representing 12 international organizations, as well as three methodologists and three public members was convened. Panel members assembled at key international meetings (for those panel members attending the conference), and a stand-alone meeting was held for all panel members in November 2018. A formal conflict-of-interest policy was developed at the onset of the process and enforced throughout. Teleconferences and electronic-based discussion among the chairs, co-chairs, methodologists, and group heads, as well as within subgroups, served as an integral part of the guideline development process. METHODS: The panel consisted of six subgroups: recognition and management of infection, hemodynamics and resuscitation, ventilation, endocrine and metabolic therapies, adjunctive therapies, and research priorities. We conducted a systematic review for each Population, Intervention, Control, and Outcomes question to identify the best available evidence, statistically summarized the evidence, and then assessed the quality of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. We used the evidence-to-decision framework to formulate recommendations as strong or weak, or as a best practice statement. In addition, "in our practice" statements were included when evidence was inconclusive to issue a recommendation, but the panel felt that some guidance based on practice patterns may be appropriate. RESULTS: The panel provided 77 statements on the management and resuscitation of children with septic shock and other sepsis-associated organ dysfunction. Overall, six were strong recommendations, 52 were weak recommendations, and nine were best-practice statements. For 13 questions, no recommendations could be made; but, for 10 of these, "in our practice" statements were provided. In addition, 49 research priorities were identified. CONCLUSIONS: A large cohort of international experts was able to achieve consensus regarding many recommendations for the best care of children with sepsis, acknowledging that most aspects of care had relatively low quality of evidence resulting in the frequent issuance of weak recommendations. Despite this challenge, these recommendations regarding the management of children with septic shock and other sepsis-associated organ dysfunction provide a foundation for consistent care to improve outcomes and inform future research.

Abstract The genetic make-up of an individual contributes to the susceptibility and response to viral infection. Although environmental, clinical and social factors have a role in the chance of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and the severity of COVID-19 1,2 , host genetics may also be important. Identifying host-specific genetic factors may reveal biological mechanisms of therapeutic relevance and clarify causal relationships of modifiable environmental risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection and outcomes. We formed a global network of researchers to investigate the role of human genetics in SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity. Here we describe the results of three genome-wide association meta-analyses that consist of up to 49,562 patients with COVID-19 from 46 studies across 19 countries. We report 13 genome-wide significant loci that are associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection or severe manifestations of COVID-19. Several of these loci correspond to previously documented associations to lung or autoimmune and inflammatory diseases 3–7 . They also represent potentially actionable mechanisms in response to infection. Mendelian randomization analyses support a causal role for smoking and body-mass index for severe COVID-19 although not for type II diabetes. The identification of novel host genetic factors associated with COVID-19 was made possible by the community of human genetics researchers coming together to prioritize the sharing of data, results, resources and analytical frameworks. This working model of international collaboration underscores what is possible for future genetic discoveries in emerging pandemics, or indeed for any complex human disease.

This paper provides a consolidated overview of public and healthcare professionals' attitudes towards vaccination in Europe by bringing together for the first time evidence across various vaccines, countries and populations. The paper relies on an extensive review of empirical literature published in English after 2009, as well as an analysis of unpublished market research data from member companies of Vaccines Europe. Our synthesis suggests that hesitant attitudes to vaccination are prevalent and may be increasing since the influenza pandemic of 2009. We define hesitancy as an expression of concern or doubt about the value or safety of vaccination. This means that hesitant attitudes are not confined only to those who refuse vaccination or those who encourage others to refuse vaccination. For many people, vaccination attitudes are shaped not just by healthcare professionals but also by an array of other information sources, including online and social media sources. We find that healthcare professionals report increasing challenges to building a trustful relationship with patients, through which they might otherwise allay concerns and reassure hesitant patients. We also find a range of reasons for vaccination attitudes, only some of which can be characterised as being related to lack of awareness or misinformation. Reasons that relate to issues of mistrust are cited more commonly in the literature than reasons that relate to information deficit. The importance of trust in the institutions involved with vaccination is discussed in terms of implications for researchers and policy-makers; we suggest that rebuilding this trust is a multi-stakeholder problem requiring a co-ordinated strategy.

A multidisciplinary panel of 18 physicians and 3 non-physicians from eight countries (Sweden, UK, Argentina, Australia, Italy, Finland, Norway and the USA) reviewed the literature on diagnosis and management of adult coeliac disease (CD). This paper presents the recommendations of the British Society of Gastroenterology. Areas of controversies were explored through phone meetings and web surveys. Nine working groups examined the following areas of CD diagnosis and management: classification of CD; genetics and immunology; diagnostics; serology and endoscopy; follow-up; gluten-free diet; refractory CD and malignancies; quality of life; novel treatments; patient support; and screening for CD.

The British Thoracic Society first published management guidelines for community acquired pneumonia in children in 2002 and covered available evidence to early 2000. These updated guidelines represent a review of new evidence since then and consensus clinical opinion where evidence was not found. This document incorporates material from the 2002 guidelines and supersedes the previous guideline document.

BACKGROUND: Ovarian cancer has a poor prognosis, with just 40% of patients surviving 5 years. We designed this trial to establish the effect of early detection by screening on ovarian cancer mortality. METHODS: In this randomised controlled trial, we recruited postmenopausal women aged 50-74 years from 13 centres in National Health Service Trusts in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. Exclusion criteria were previous bilateral oophorectomy or ovarian malignancy, increased risk of familial ovarian cancer, and active non-ovarian malignancy. The trial management system confirmed eligibility and randomly allocated participants in blocks of 32 using computer-generated random numbers to annual multimodal screening (MMS) with serum CA125 interpreted with use of the risk of ovarian cancer algorithm, annual transvaginal ultrasound screening (USS), or no screening, in a 1:1:2 ratio. The primary outcome was death due to ovarian cancer by Dec 31, 2014, comparing MMS and USS separately with no screening, ascertained by an outcomes committee masked to randomisation group. All analyses were by modified intention to screen, excluding the small number of women we discovered after randomisation to have a bilateral oophorectomy, have ovarian cancer, or had exited the registry before recruitment. Investigators and participants were aware of screening type. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00058032. FINDINGS: Between June 1, 2001, and Oct 21, 2005, we randomly allocated 202,638 women: 50,640 (25·0%) to MMS, 50,639 (25·0%) to USS, and 101,359 (50·0%) to no screening. 202,546 (>99·9%) women were eligible for analysis: 50,624 (>99·9%) women in the MMS group, 50,623 (>99·9%) in the USS group, and 101,299 (>99·9%) in the no screening group. Screening ended on Dec 31, 2011, and included 345,570 MMS and 327,775 USS annual screening episodes. At a median follow-up of 11·1 years (IQR 10·0-12·0), we diagnosed ovarian cancer in 1282 (0·6%) women: 338 (0·7%) in the MMS group, 314 (0·6%) in the USS group, and 630 (0·6%) in the no screening group. Of these women, 148 (0·29%) women in the MMS group, 154 (0·30%) in the USS group, and 347 (0·34%) in the no screening group had died of ovarian cancer. The primary analysis using a Cox proportional hazards model gave a mortality reduction over years 0-14 of 15% (95% CI -3 to 30; p=0·10) with MMS and 11% (-7 to 27; p=0·21) with USS. The Royston-Parmar flexible parametric model showed that in the MMS group, this mortality effect was made up of 8% (-20 to 31) in years 0-7 and 23% (1-46) in years 7-14, and in the USS group, of 2% (-27 to 26) in years 0-7 and 21% (-2 to 42) in years 7-14. A prespecified analysis of death from ovarian cancer of MMS versus no screening with exclusion of prevalent cases showed significantly different death rates (p=0·021), with an overall average mortality reduction of 20% (-2 to 40) and a reduction of 8% (-27 to 43) in years 0-7 and 28% (-3 to 49) in years 7-14 in favour of MMS. INTERPRETATION: Although the mortality reduction was not significant in the primary analysis, we noted a significant mortality reduction with MMS when prevalent cases were excluded. We noted encouraging evidence of a mortality reduction in years 7-14, but further follow-up is needed before firm conclusions can be reached on the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of ovarian cancer screening. FUNDING: Medical Research Council, Cancer Research UK, Department of Health, The Eve Appeal.

BACKGROUND: Although some patients with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) report limitations in exercise capacity, we hypothesized that depressed exercise capacity may be more widespread than superficially evident during clinical consultation and could be a means of assessing risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cardiopulmonary exercise testing was performed in 335 consecutive ACHD patients (age, 33+/-13 years), 40 non-congenital heart failure patients (age, 58+/-15 years), and 11 young (age, 29+/-5 years) and 12 older (age, 59+/-9 years) healthy subjects. Peak oxygen consumption (peak VO2) was reduced in ACHD patients compared with healthy subjects of similar age (21.7+/-8.5 versus 45.1+/-8.6; P<0.001). No significant difference in peak VO2 was found between ACHD and heart failure patients of corresponding NYHA class (P=NS for each NYHA class). Within ACHD subgroups, peak VO2 gradually declined from aortic coarctation (28.7+/-10.4) to Eisenmenger (11.5+/-3.6) patients (P<0.001). Multivariable correlates of peak VO2 were peak heart rate (r=0.33), forced expiratory volume (r=0.33), pulmonary hypertension (r=-0.26), gender (r=-0.23), and body mass index (r=-0.19). After a median follow-up of 10 months, 62 patients (18.5%) were hospitalized or had died. On multivariable Cox analysis, peak VO2 predicted hospitalization or death (hazard ratio, 0.937; P=0.01) and was related to the frequency and duration of hospitalization (P=0.01 for each). CONCLUSIONS: Exercise capacity is depressed in ACHD patients (even in allegedly asymptomatic patients) on a par with chronic heart failure subjects. Lack of heart rate response to exercise, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and impaired pulmonary function are important correlates of exercise capacity, as is underlying cardiac anatomy. Poor exercise capacity identifies ACHD patients at risk for hospitalization or death.

AIMS: To describe atrial fibrillation (AF) management in member countries of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and to verify cardiology practices against guidelines. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 182 hospitals in 35 countries, 5333 ambulant and hospitalized AF patients were enrolled, in 2003 and 2004. AF was primary or secondary diagnosis, and was confirmed on ECG in the preceding 12 months. Clinical type of AF was reported to be first detected in 978, paroxysmal in 1517, persistent in 1167, and permanent in 1547 patients. Concomitant diseases were present in 90% of all patients, causing risk factors for stroke to be also highly prevalent (86%). As many as 69% of patients were symptomatic at the time of the survey; among asymptomatic patients, 54% were previously experienced symptoms. Oral anticoagulation was prescribed in 67 and 49% of eligible and ineligible patients, respectively. A rhythm control strategy was applied in 67% of currently symptomatic patients and in 44% of patients who never experienced symptoms. CONCLUSION: This survey provides a unique snapshot of current AF management in ESC member countries. Discordance between guidelines and practice was found regarding several issues on stroke prevention and antiarrhythmic therapy.

This is the first European Crohn’s and Colitis Organisation [ECCO] consensus guideline that addresses extra-intestinal manifestations [EIMs] in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. It has been drafted by 21 ECCO members from 13 European countries. Although this is the first ECCO consensus guideline that primarily addresses EIMs, it is partly derived from, updates, and replaces previous ECCO consensus advice on EIMs, contained within the consensus guidelines for Crohn’s disease1 [CD] and ulcerative colitis2 [UC]. The strategy to define consensus was similar to that previously described in other ECCO consensus guidelines [available at www.ecco-ibd.eu]. Briefly, topics were selected by the ECCO guidelines committee [GuiCom]. ECCO members were selected to form working groups. Provisional ECCO Statements and supporting text were written following a comprehensive literature review, then refined following two voting rounds which included national representative participation by ECCO’s 35 member countries. The level of evidence was graded according to the Oxford Centre for Evidence-based Medicine [www.cebm.net]. The ECCO Statements were finalised by the authors at a meeting in Vienna in October 2014 and represent consensus with agreement of at least 80% of participants. Complete consensus [100% agreement] was reached for most statements. The supporting text was then finalised under the direction of each working group leader [VA, SV, FC, MH] before being integrated by the two consensus leaders [MH, FC]. This consensus guideline is pictorially represented within the freely available ECCO e-Guide [http://www.e-guide.ecco-ibd.eu/]. Up to 50% of patients with inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] experience at least one extra-intestinal manifestation [EIM], which can present before IBD is diagnosed.34,5,6 EIMs adversely impact upon patients’ quality of life and some, such as primary sclerosing cholangitis [PSC] or venous thromboembolism [VTE], can be life-threatening. The probability of developing EIMs increases with disease duration and in patients who already have one EIM.7 …